Current:Home > MarketsHere's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy -Trailblazer Wealth Guides
Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy
View
Date:2025-04-17 22:28:20
Inflation got a little higher last month — but not enough to set off alarms.
Consumer prices in July were up 3.2% from a year ago, according to data released Thursday, driven in part by rising rent, gas and grocery prices. The increase came after the annual inflation rate had fallen steadily for the previous 12 months.
Despite the rise in the headline rate, details in the report show inflation continuing to moderate. Stocks rallied on the news, which bolstered hopes for a "soft landing," in which the Federal Reserve brings inflation under control without tipping the economy into recession.
Here are four things to know about the latest report on inflation.
What was so encouraging about the latest inflation report?
Although consumer prices rose more in July on an annual basis than they did in June, that shouldn't be read as inflation gaining steam. Rather, it's the result of a single month of flat prices a year ago dropping out of the calculation.
Focusing on more recent months shows price hikes continuing to moderate. In fact, over the last three months, prices have climbed at an annual rate of just under 2%. And some prices are actually coming down.
So what is up — and what is down in price?
Goods overall are getting cheaper, with some exceptions like gasoline and groceries.
Used car prices were down last month, and they are expected to keep falling. Air fares dropped more than 8% in July for the second month in a row.
Rent is still going up, but not as fast as it had been. The economy is also seeing a moderation in the price of services – things like getting your car fixed or going to the dentist.
Service prices are largely driven by wages, so they tend to be stickier than other prices. The big question is whether service inflation will come down enough to bring overall inflation under control.
Why is Wall Street so encouraged about inflation?
The inflation data was within what Wall Street had forecast, and it reinforces hope that inflation is easing.
At the same time, other recent data is showing a sturdier economy than many had expected. The labor market, in particular, is holding up well despite the Fed's aggressive increases in interest rates since last year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 400 points in the first hour of trading Thursday, although most of those gains were later reversed. The Dow closed up 52 points, or 0.15%.
Stephen Juneau, a senior economist at Bank of America, says he's encouraged about the trajectory of inflation.
"I think the direction of travel right now is really moving in the right direction, and is encouraging on the inflation front," Juneau said.
How could the inflation data impact the Fed's thinking?
Even before Thursday's inflation news, markets were betting the Fed would leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting after raising rates aggressively since last year.
Oddsmakers see that as even more likely after this report.
But nothing's certain and additional economic data will determine the Fed's next action. The Fed doesn't meet until late September and there are still areas of concern, including higher oil prices which are driving up prices at the gas pump.
How could inflation impact households?
Although inflation is easing, it's still pretty high. Even if the Fed doesn't raise rates higher, they're likely to remain elevated for an extended period.
That has an impact on many people's pocketbooks since households are paying more for mortgages and credit cards, for example.
And the economy may be looking sturdier, but there's still a risk the U.S. could enter a recession.
China's economy, for example, is showing signs of slowing down significantly, which could impact the global economy at a time when the U.S. is taking a tougher stance against the Asian country.
veryGood! (467)
Related
- Paris Hilton, Nicole Richie return for an 'Encore,' reminisce about 'The Simple Life'
- Potential kingmaker in Dutch coalition talks comes out against anti-Islam firebrand Wilders
- WHO says we can 'write the final chapter in the story of TB.' How close are we?
- Justin Timberlake's Red Carpet Reunion With *NSYNC Doubled as a Rare Date Night With Jessica Biel
- Google unveils a quantum chip. Could it help unlock the universe's deepest secrets?
- Salman Rushdie gets first-ever Lifetime Disturbing the Peace Award after word was suppressed for his safety
- Brewers announce Pat Murphy as 20th manager in franchise history
- Another eye drop recall pulls 27 products off of CVS, Rite Aid, Target and Walmart shelves after FDA warning
- Whoopi Goldberg is delightfully vile as Miss Hannigan in ‘Annie’ stage return
- 12 starts, $230 million: Timeline of Deshaun Watson's Browns tenure with guaranteed contract
Ranking
- Rolling Loud 2024: Lineup, how to stream the world's largest hip hop music festival
- Australia proposes law to allow prison time for high-risk migrants who breach visa conditions
- Democrat Biberaj concedes in hard-fought northern Virginia prosecutor race
- Fuel tanker overturns north of Boston during multiple-vehicle crash
- Federal court filings allege official committed perjury in lawsuit tied to Louisiana grain terminal
- Wyatt Russell Confirms He's Expecting Baby No. 2 With Wife Meredith Hagner
- Audrina Patridge’s 15-Year-Old Niece’s Cause of Death of Revealed
- Trump’s lawyers want a mistrial in his New York civil fraud case. They claim the judge is biased
Recommendation
As Trump Enters Office, a Ripe Oil and Gas Target Appears: An Alabama National Forest
Former Gary police officer sentenced to year in prison for violating handcuffed man’s civil rights
Video shows world's most dangerous bird emerging from ocean, stunning onlookers
Why Travis Kelce Is Apologizing to Taylor Swift's Dad Just Days After Their First Meeting
Israel lets Palestinians go back to northern Gaza for first time in over a year as cease
Jennifer Aniston, David Schwimmer, Lisa Kudrow honor Matthew Perry by sharing iconic Chandler Bing moments
Trump seeks mistrial in New York fraud case, claiming judge overseeing case is biased
A record Russian budget will boost defense spending, shoring up Putin’s support ahead of election